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CME: latest 'Hay Stocks' Report Shows Availability of Pastures Down

16 May 2018

US - Last week USDA-NASS released the first week of pasture and range conditions for the US. This weekly update provides a barometer for cattle forage conditions across the country, according to Steiner Consulting Group, DLR Division, Inc.

Ratings are given by state to show what percent of pastures are in very poor, poor, fair, good or excellent grazing conditions. Pastures in very poor and poor conditions require additional feedstuffs to carry the normal stocking load for that area of the country.

The 2018 season opened the first two weeks of the season with the lowest ratings seen for those same weeks since 2014. Approximately 20 per cent of the US pastures are in poor to very poor conditions. This is more than 10 per cent higher than last year at this time.

One of the worse regions is the Western region, covering AZ, CA, ID, NV, NM, OR, UT, WA, which has more than 30 per cent of pastures in poor to very poor conditions. The interesting dichotomy of the Pacific Northwest where very little drought has happened this year and the scorched southwest, paints a unique picture. Comparatively, the drought monitor indicates more than 40 per cent of the US is in a state of drought versus 20 per cent of pasture conditions.

Even in areas where drought has not been problematic such as the southeast and the Northern plains. Pasture conditions are still having a slow start. The southeast reports pastures are coming around quickly as it warms in May but the last two weeks of Pasture and Range conditions indicate more than 10 per cent are still requiring supplemental feeding. In the Northern Plains and upper Midwest a cool spring has delayed green-up.

Typical turn-out of cattle to grazing guidelines indicate that we may be a bit behind this year but are not necessarily in trouble. This continues to be a wait and see as the spring progresses to see if these pastures will take off quickly or if additional forage will be needed to offset struggling pastures. Inventories as of USDA’s 1 May Hay Stocks showed availability was down throughout the US but in particular in the southwest and southern plains inventories have plunged significantly, year over year.

At this point the hay outlook is also one where we have to wait and see. In warmer climates that are already starting cutting may be struggling to see high production, but it is still early enough in the season that price pressure ahead of the new crop could be short lived.


Daily Livestock Report - Copyright © 2008 CME. All rights reserved.


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