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Cattle Futures: Modest Profit Taking, Friday

21 February 2014
Jim Wyckoff Commentary -  TheCropSite

US - April live cattle closed seven cents lower at $141.75 on Thursday as contracts closed mid-range among quieter trades, reports Jim Wyckoff, TheCattleSite analyst.

Mild profit taking was featured. Cash market fundamentals are still overall bullish for the cattle market this week. Bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage.

However, my bias is still that a major top is in place—or close to it. Bulls’ next upside price “breakout” objective is to push and close prices above solid resistance at the contract high of $143.20.

The next downside technical breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the February low of $138.65.

First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $142.50 and then at this week’s high of $142.90. First support is seen at this week’s low of $141.55 and then at $141.10. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

April feeder cattle closed down $0.67 at $171.77 Thursday. More profit taking was featured after prices hit a contract high on Wednesday.

There was good follow-through selling today and a bearish “key reversal” down on the daily bar chart was confirmed.

That is an early technical clue that a market top is in place. But right now the feeder bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage.

The next upside price breakout objective for the feeder bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the contract high of $173.32.

The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is to push and close prices below solid technical support at $170.00. First resistance is seen at $172.00 and then at $172.35. First support is seen at $171.25 and then at $171.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

TheCattleSite News Desk

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%): 1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.



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